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As the race for the White House continues in the United States, we at the Zambian Chronicle are throwing our weight behind the former US First Lady, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton from New York.
Our endorsement for Mrs. Clinton comes after careful consideration as Super Tuesday approaches.
While we realize that the race may not be over after Super Tuesday, we acknowledge the fact that she is best suited to be Commander in Chief and leader of the free world compared to any other candidate from either party.
This US election is unique in all aspects as the front runners are. Senator Hillary R Clinton (NY) would be the first woman President if elected, Senator Barack Obama (IL) would be the first Black President if elected, and Senator John McCain (AZ) would be the oldest President if elected while former Governor Mitt Romney (MA) would be the first Mormon if elected.
We believe Mrs. Clinton will eventually get her party’s nomination for the following reasons. She currently leads her rival in national polls by an average of 9% on aggregate from all available data.
As of this publication she has 261 delegates while Senator Barack Obama from the land of Lincoln, (Illinois) holds 190. To secure the nomination, a candidate will need 2,025 and here is how we see Mrs. Clinton reaching that magic number.
Forty (40) % of those delegates will come from what are called Super delegates who are senior party leaders from all states and that number comes to 810 or close thereby.
These have the prerogative to choose any candidate and thus have the propensity to go for the establishment candidate as opposed to the populist one. Mrs. Clinton is more of an establishment candidate than her rival is.
Despite the fact that delegates from Florida (she carried it by 50% of the vote) and Michigan (she carried it by 55% of the vote) are currently not included in the above count attributed to her.
She won both those states in land slide victories and as such the super delegates would feel more obligated to reward her for that during the convention.
Clinton country includes New Mexico which has the highest proportion of Latinos in the United States — something that could bode well for Hillary Clinton.
In New York, Hillary Clinton’s home state, almost half of voters identify themselves as Democrats she has 232 delegates at stake but playing on home turf makes it easier for her.
Since becoming a state, Alaska has never held a presidential primary, choosing rather to hold caucuses. Name recognition will be Mrs. Clinton’s asset there.
American Samoa which participates in the Democratic and Republican nomination processes but does not participate in the general election holds the Alaskan dichotomy which may help her as well, so we expect her to win there.
Arkansas is likely to go her way since she was the former first lady for the same state when her husband was governor before becoming President of the United States.
California has a reputation for being heavily Democratic, mainly due to large metropolitan areas such as Los Angeles (mayor campaigning for Hillary) and San Francisco.
With 370 delegates, California offers the largest boast despite the derivatives from the Kennedy family establishment and endorsements. Its delegates account for 22% of all delegates up for grabs on Super Tuesday.
Colorado is believed to be the rising political star and with strength from the Latino community Mrs. Clinton’s competitive increases because she fares well among such demographics.
Delaware is considered one of the best bellwether states in presidential politics and usually votes for the establishment. Idaho holds its Democratic caucuses looks favorable to Mrs. Clinton. Hispanics are a growing political voting bloc there.
A large number of Latinos now work in meatpacking factory towns in Kansas, and Hispanics accounted for nearly half of Kansas’ population growth in the 1990s, these are Mrs. Clinton’s to take.
Montana was one of the most Democratic states in the Rocky Mountain West, electing only Democratic senators from 1952 to 1988 and is likely to go for Mrs. Clinton.
New Jersey as a state has now voted Democratic in four straight presidential elections and is neighbors with her home state thus likely to be Clinton country while New Mexico has the highest proportion of Latinos in the United States, we know what to expect there.
North Dakota has two Democratic senators and a Democratic member of the House and the local establishment goes traditional. Oklahoma, Utah and West Virginia’s coal-mining heritage are heavily unionized and likely to go for Mrs. Clinton.
Obama country will consist of Alabama which is likely to lean his way. African-Americans made up 47 percent of Georgia’s 2004 Democratic primary electorate and going by recent history from South Carolina, this too will be Obama country.
Georgia has more African-Americans than any other state except Texas and New York, and could soon surpass them. Georgia and her governor who has endorsed the Senator are Obama’s to take.
Senator Obama’s home state of Illinois has increasingly become a Democratic stronghold in presidential politics and with 153 delegates in play, he would easily win it.
Massachusetts is a major Obama stronghold going by endorsements from both Senators John F Kerry and Ted Kennedy who come from there.
Minnesota, long seen as a bastion of liberalism, has become much more of a battleground recently but is likely to be Obama country.
In Missouri, African-Americans made up 23 percent of the state’s 2004 Democratic primary electorate and almost four in 10 voters in the 2004 Democratic primary came from a household where someone belonged to a union – thus likely to be Obama country as former Edward’s supporters shift camp.
Over half of Tennessee’s 2004 Democratic primary electorate was African American and the Obama camp has made several inroads there, therefore we can easily say might go his way.
Other states include those hard to call states like Arizona. Maricopa County, which includes Phoenix, is home to over 60 percent of Arizona’s registered voters. The Governor there has endorsed Senator Obama.
Connecticut was one of Bill Clinton’s few defeats during the 1992 primary, where he was narrowly beaten by Jerry Brown, 37 percent to 36 percent.
And then we have other delegate rich states coming in March such as Texas, Maryland and Pennsylvania; these currently favor Mrs. Clinton. After Super Tuesday, she would have acquired even more delegates giving her the required momentum.
So, while others may say this race for the Democratic Party nominee as too close to call, our calculus leads us to Senator Hillary R Clinton (NY) as the eventual nominee and subsequently the next President of the United State of America.
We wish Senator Barack Obama (IL) well in the race and we are very impressed with his campaign – his having run a terrific campaign has made our race proud.
Our natural inclination would have led us to endorse him (Senator Barack Obama) based on even racial affiliations even but over here at the Chronicle we revel more in logic and intellectual honesty than all else.
As for the Republicans, we believe Senator John McCain will be their party nominee but, he literary has no chance against the Democrats who might end up feathering their “Dream Team” of Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama as the running mate.
To win the presidency, all Mrs. Clinton needs to do is carry all the states that voted Democratic in 2,004 and add Ohio with one swing state like New Mexico and the rest will be history …
That is this week’s memo from us at the Zambian Chronicle … thanks a trillion.
Brainwave R Mumba, Sr.
CEO & President – Zambian Chronicle
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February 4, 2008 at 8:43 am
… we wish Mrs. Clinton God Speed and luck as she navigates the remaining period of this political process … thanks a trillion
February 4, 2008 at 9:15 am
[...] brainsplus wrote an interesting post today on America Votesâ08 ⦠Zambian Chronicle Endorses Senator Hillary R …Here’s a quick excerpt… Chinese Version Arabic Version As the race for the White House continues in the United States, we at the Zambian Chronicle are throwing our weight behind the former US First Lady, Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton from New York. … [...]
February 4, 2008 at 4:05 pm
Hey How about Obama, I like him. He is smart and wise too. Anyway either one of them is Great. I like both candidates.
On the Republican, I can say John McCain Rocks. He talks with a heart and experience.
Some of these dudes are fakers.
The three candidates got all it takes to lead the world. Anyone of the three will make me happy. America is made up of the world. So anyone who talks sense to save the world gets support.
Thanks a trillion
Belliah
February 4, 2008 at 4:07 pm
[...] Tidbit: Over on the Zambian Chronicle blog, I find they’ve endorsed Hillary Clinton, because, they [...]
February 4, 2008 at 4:23 pm
Zambian in USA,
… Senator Barack Obama (IL) is a darling in this campaign and if Senator Hillary R Clinton (NY) was not in this race we would have endorsed him. Senator Obama is articulate, smart, charismatic and very likeable.
He is the new blood to ever appear on the political scene for a long time, he is inspirational but we at the Chronicle strongly believe his constituency is not large enough to win the general election.
Senator Obama has some heavy weights behind him like billionaire TV mogul, Oprah Winfrey and his disclosure statements for campaign financing carries a longer list of celebrity endorsements which is goof for him.
Even the Kennedy family is split between Obama and Clinton, Uncle Ted, Caroline and Maria Shrivel are for Obama while, Governor Townsend and her brother Robert Jr. are for the Clintons.
Senator John McCain (AZ) is a great contender and the only one who would actually give the democrats their run for the money but the time for Republicans is now over – a fact some are not willing to accept even though logic dictates so.
As for the fakers, versatility and malleability has been their largest detriment because every one has seen how they have tried to pander to the polls; changing their stance on issues to fit public sentiment … Americans are smarter than that, thanks a trillion.
February 5, 2008 at 10:30 am
Brainwave,
We at Zambian Chronicle support the decision. Hillary can do the needful. There are so many reasons why people will go for Obama. Uncle B hanging out with DR K. Gives people a lot of concerns.
I stand on my principles. Obama is very smart guy; he sees things the way they are. He is not a robot that changes back to green, then Yellow, then red, again green, yellow and so forth.
Hillary can stand on her own without uncle B. Uncle B is bringing her down by hanging out with unclean people. Call a spade a spade. Hillary is not afraid to say wrong is wrong and right is right. That is what I like about her.
But the truth is the world likes uncle B. Obama brings a new chapter to the racial problem. Both black and whites are racists. Zambians are also racists. Obama is both colors. Race is not important to him. He is not black nor is white.
So this claim of black and white sickens most of us. Choose a candidate because of merit and not color. We are all equal in the eyes of God, and people should be put in office on merit, not because of their color, tribe, ethnic you call it.
Why do you think African leaders do not do well? Racism. Tribal power. Yes Obama looks like me, but that it self does not qualify him to be a president. What qualifies him is the way he brings out himself, as a person for change.
Like I said, I like three candidates, Obama, Hillary, and McCain. But for a change I would like to see someone different. I will help my husband choose a right candidate. He is a Lt New York guard, so he feels the pain. Not people who never experienced pain in their lives.
Either one of the three, will lead the nation for reconciliation with the outside world. That is my stand. The Soldiers that are dying in Iraq are human like each one of us. They are young men and women leaving behind their families.
Hillary and Obama at least talk sense. McCain was a prisoner of War, so he knows the mind of an enemy. He talks with experience. There is so much dirt in the basket that needs to be cleaned up, and that is why Hillary and McCain would be good to clean up the mess, since they know were to start from.
As for change Obama is the best of all. But poor guy will have a lot of work to do. Check what is happening to Zambia. Mwanawasa has been trying to fight corruption, but he is surrounded by scam. He is not supported by his ministers. There not doing their job.
So the guy is running the show alone. The scammers are bringing down, so they can prove to people that he is bad. I would not want to see that happening to Obama, because all these guys are so fake. He will do well as a vice president.
The three are there to save the nation, and establish good relations with the outside world. I am not a politician, but I speak reality, I use my own common sense.
The rest are thinking of the title.
Soldiers in Iraq are not animals. So far Hillary sounds like she has a plan to save life.
Brainwave is smart; he just helped you guys to think beyond your nose. If you want the blue to win. Go with Brainwave’s advice. Though I have a feeling, if Hillary stood with McCain, people will flow to McCain, because they cannot just accept change.
if Obama goes neck to neck with McCain, he stands a chance, because people are just fed up with the same shit, just like I got fed up with the Zambian politicians. Same people with fake promises. I call it a political game.
The reason I would Support Hillary is she is tough enough to stand up for herself to lead the world in the right direction. Some of these guys are so much Hitler’s at heart, covered with a white cloth.
You should see the videos of soldiers in Iraq; American People needs reminder so that they see the reality of life. Common sense lacks in most of this guys. They need to see the video clips soldiers are sending asking for WHY WHY?
May be People will accept reality. They are so blinded by the love of power and do not see what is happening around them. They cannot think beyond their nose and yet there is blood shade all over the world.
My husband is the First Lt. New York Guard. He writes wills for the soldiers that are being sent. Young men and women, 18 to 21 years. He is always heart broken to see this young men and women sacrificing their lives for the nation that do not care about life. It is like signing a death penalty. Yet this folks are just yap yap…..They are running for the title and the white house.
In that case we at Zambian Chronicles are in support with the candidate that has a heart for human life.
The immigration system is very disfunctional. It needs a lot of clean up.
Even people who have proved their cases and are legal are getting punished. People who try to follow rules are always punished.This system is also disfunctional.
Thank you Hillary, Obama and McCain for your support for soldiers in Iraq.
Thanks a trillion,
Belliah
February 5, 2008 at 6:21 pm
Belliah,
… our greatest gratitude to your husband who sees and has seen first hand what the rest of just get to hear about. He is a true patriot and we thank him for that.
I like your enthusiasm about Senator Barack Obama (IL) and I really wish him well, he would be a great president but when your calculus gives you the right permutations and combinations you go with them because numbers don’t lie … they are the basis of logic.
As for Uncle B, remember how he once confessed about fighting his own demons, we all have ours and the big black book talks about judging not lest we be judged. Some of the people who condemn him have done worse only they have been caught yet.
During one of the debates, Senator Obama when quizzed about a scam deal he represented in Illinois once confessed and I quote “… none of our hands are clean”. Don’t forget, politics is a dirty game … don’t put your full head in there.
Do you realize how the Republican attack machine can use that to swift boat Senator Obama in an October surprise? He is the only candidate who has not really faced any fire because the media wants him to be the nominee and then they will destroy him in the general elections.
Hillary is a very strong woman, the most humble in this campaign and the only one not doing it for power’s sake, she has been there done that even if she did it with her husband. She truly believes in change from within the system.
We at the Chronicle made an editorial decision after careful considerations and the Best For America Is Yet To Come!!! We believe she is the only one to get in office and on the first day make the presidency functional.
As things stand, if the worst got to the worst, one would live just fine with a McCain and or Obama, or even a Hukabee presidency for that matter; that’s the beauty of this campaign as America Votes’08 … thanks a trillion.
February 5, 2008 at 6:43 pm
I am an American and I am very surprised some one like brainsplus looking from outside can have such a clear understanding about how Obama is the pathway to another Republican presidency.
Hillary has faced all kinds of republican fire and can withstand the heat. All these polls are fake - remember New Hampshire, the media get their ratings by stirring the water not telling the truth.
Hillary is the only best bet for America right now.
February 5, 2008 at 9:39 pm
Brainsplus,
You are very 100% right. You know I am a deep thinker. Remember I said this before. Hillary is the best candidate.
You should see how I smarked negatives last night. I went to bed at 3.00Am.
All the bullets that came after Hillary were thrown back.
Good Job Team
February 5, 2008 at 11:15 pm
Belliah,
… I had given you a day off yesterday because I wanted you to take care of any other business and yet you stayed on up to 3:00 in this morning!
I am very disappointed with you, I know you are a workaholic but when the boss says go home and rest he means just that, I hope we have a new understanding now … great job nevertheless.
You are right about Hillary and those wanting us to endorse otherwise based on race just don’t know who we are, we are color blind and only see things in the prism of logic … thanks a trillion
February 5, 2008 at 11:50 pm
Yes Boss:
We are on duty to save the world. We will rest when the job is done.
Thanks I will try to sleep early tonight.
I ‘ve been that way since I was a kid. When I start something, I do not stop until I find a solution. I told you I work with passion at heart.
Thanks A trillion
February 6, 2008 at 11:03 pm
belliah,
… I don’t think we could have hired any body better here at the Zambian Chronicle, we are so glad you are part of the team; proud of you … thanks a trillion
April 23, 2008 at 7:51 am
What gives you the right to pick who you prefer to be the next president?As an American citizen I find it absurd that you meddle in the internal affairs of the USA which is exactly what you would say if I gave my preference for who I would like to be the next Zambian President right???Worry about your own politics okay?
April 23, 2008 at 2:24 pm
Hi Spencer,
I will answer your question straight to the point.
I appreciate your comment and concerns.Why ? part of USA Politics, because some of us are American citizens and have families in countries like Zambia. We love America and we are here to tell the world that there are good people in America, and America is not as bad as it is seen now.
We the people of the world should play part in uniting the world again and restore the trust that the outside world has lost on America policies. So if you see something wrong with that then, I see something wrong in your concern.
America, will be joining South Africa, Namibia, Angola and Zambia to talk about Zimbabwe. Read world news. You will know why.
When Zambia Chronicle endorsed Hillary, I told my team I was going for Obama. That did not mean I did not like Hillary, But I think it was because, I felt America needed change. I have so much respect for Hillary,and if she wins the nomination, I will support her. My husband is a full time republican, by the way An American (white) citizen, and I am just a results of mixed breed, the reason why we should just get along and not throw punches at each other.
America should serve as a beacon for the world. Remember America is a melting pot made up of the world.
Havig said that, I will give you my back ground so you know.
My grandmother was born from English/Scotish, her mother German /AMERICAN.
My grand mother was born in 1925 in Zambia, northwestern provice close to Angola and Namibia, but she was left by her parents because she married a Zambian, and had my mother, and had 27 grand children. We are the grand children. I end there. If you need details on that, you will read them in my book.
Thanks a trillion,
April 25, 2008 at 3:49 pm
Belia,
… thanks a trillion.
Spencer,
… welcome aboard and your concerns have been addressed by Belia effectively, I must believe. What is your comment about the Times of London issuing an editorial, read below. Ours was just an endorsement … thanks a trillion.
Obama and Clinton: two cynical losers
Despite having all the trumps, the Democrats have squandered the chance of a lifetime
Gerard Baker
How do they do it? How do the Democrats manage to squander repeatedly and with such ease the chance of a lifetime? What inverse alchemy have they created that turns the gold bullion of electoral opportunity into the base metal of political oblivion?
Eight years of George Bush, an unpopular war and a recession have handed the Democrats their best chance, not merely of winning their first presidential election in 12 years, but of achieving a rare, once-in-a- generation transformational shift in American politics.
Four fifths of the American public think the country is on the wrong track. The President wallows in the highest disapproval ratings since polling began. The Republican Party has spent most of a decade bungling almost everything it touches, abandoning its principles and sinking into a mire of corruption, hypocrisy and incompetence.
And here we are, six months from a presidential election, and it is the Democrats once again who seem to be staring defeat in the face. It’s like a soccer match in which one team keeps conceding a penalty in the final minutes only to watch as the opponents repeatedly boot the penalty kick high into the stands.
Background
Obama limps on with tainted image
Clinton risks all on one last throw of the dice
Race matters in the US election
‘This is a surreal, almost delirious face-off’
Hillary Clinton’s solid victory in the Pennsylvania primary on Tuesday has condemned the party to many more weeks of strife and sinking public esteem. There’s a popular view among Democrats and the media establishment that the reason for the party’s current disarray is that it just happens to have two most extraordinary candidates: talented, attractive, and in their gender and race, excitingly new. But there’s an alternative explanation, which I suspect the voters have grasped rather better than their necromancers in the media. Both are losers.
The longer the Democratic race goes on, the more obvious it appears that each is deeply, perhaps ineradicably flawed.
Until about a month ago Barack Obama had done a brilliant job of presenting himself as a transcendent figure, the mixed-race candidate with bipartisan appeal who promised to heal the historic and modern rifts in American life.
But the mask has slipped. Under pressure in a Democratic primary, Mr Obama has sounded just like any other tax-raising, government-loving Democratic politician. Worse, he has revealed himself to be a member of that special subset of the party’s liberal elite - a well-educated man with a serious superiority complex.
His worst moment of the campaign was when he was caught telling liberal sophisticates about his anthropological observations on the campaign trail. In the misery of their daily lives, he said, the hicks out there in the sticks cling to religion and guns and the other irrational necessities of the unenlightened life. His wife had earlier told voters that they should be grateful that someone of his protean talents had deigned to come among them and be their president.
The events of the last month have also revealed another side of Mr Obama that threatens to undermine his whole message. He is a cynic. He tells the mavens of San Francisco one thing and the great unwashed of Pennsylvania another. In defending his long relationship with the Rev Jeremiah Wright, he shopped his own grandmother, comparing the reverend’s views (God Damn America! The US deliberately spread Aids among the black population) to his grandmother’s occasionally expressed fears about the potential of being the victim of crime at the hands of an African-American.
Hillary Clinton, meanwhile, has been busy shedding the final vestiges of shame and honesty in her desperate attempt to save her candidacy. She has abandoned any pretence of a message, and simply seized on every opening presented to her by her opponent.
Mr Obama’s missteps with the working class of Pennsylvania have thus transformed Mrs Clinton from the bluestocking Wellesley graduate into the good old girl, hanging out there with the straw-chewing rednecks, embracing their values, their worldview and even their lifestyle.
Obliterate Iran! Here comes Osama bin Laden! I love duck hunting! I can do shots and beer at the same time! It’s hard to know what’s worse - expressing condescending views about the working class or pretending to be one of them. The Democratic campaign is simply disappearing in the enveloping vapidity of the candidates’ making.
The economy’s a mess; the US is bogged down in Iraq and Afghanistan. Instead of seizing the opportunity to present a convincing vision of an alternative way forward the Democrats are fumbling. When they are not scrapping about each other’s street cred they are falling back on the old verities of left-wing dogma: class warfare on taxes; irresponsible (and unredeemable) promises to pull out of Iraq in an instant; a protectionism that makes a mockery of their claims to want to restore America’s standing in the world.
Amid this sorry spectacle of cynical opportunism and atavistic dogmatism, the Republicans have contrived somehow to select in John McCain the one candidate in their party who might actually have a shot at winning the election.
American presidential elections turn as much on the characters of the candidates as they do on the saliency of policies. Democrats, of course, think this is all rather crass. They think voters should confine themselves to the “issues”. But Americans understand their government a little better. They know the limits of presidential office and they understand the president’s role as head of state is as much about leadership of the nation as it is about implementation of policy.
What they want is a man - or a woman - of character and record to inspire and lead them. That may be why the Democrats are in trouble.
Gerard Baker
Gerard Baker is United States Editor and an Assistant Editor of The Times. He joined in 2004 from the Financial Times, where he had spent over ten years as Tokyo correspondent and Washington Bureau Chief. His weekly oped column appears on Fridays
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/comment/columnists/gerard_baker/article3811396.ece
July 21, 2008 at 9:09 am
1925 guns…
How do you come up with so much material to blog with?…